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icon for Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Élection municipale de Los Angeles

icon for Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Élection municipale de Los Angeles

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 15%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,283,263 Vol.

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 15%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,283,263 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$67,973 Vol.

57%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$842,752 Vol.

24%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$106,429 Vol.

15%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$120,117 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$463,870 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$65,323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$18,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$19,596 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$446,371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$103,842 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$28,267 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in trader consensus for the Los Angeles mayoral election ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, supported by established name recognition, institutional backing, and consistent polling edges over challengers. Recent developments, including a canceled mayoral forum and targeted outreach to Latino voters where Bass maintains a wide margin, have reinforced her position while highlighting persistent voter frustration over homelessness, housing affordability, and the city’s wildfire response. Spencer Pratt has climbed into second place by capitalizing on these issues, drawing attention through debate performances and unconventional campaign tactics that resonate with undecided voters. Nithya Raman trails in third amid a crowded field where more than 40 percent of likely voters remained undecided in earlier surveys, leaving room for late shifts before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$2,283,263
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds the lead in trader consensus for the Los Angeles mayoral election ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, supported by established name recognition, institutional backing, and consistent polling edges over challengers. Recent developments, including a canceled mayoral forum and targeted outreach to Latino voters where Bass maintains a wide margin, have reinforced her position while highlighting persistent voter frustration over homelessness, housing affordability, and the city’s wildfire response. Spencer Pratt has climbed into second place by capitalizing on these issues, drawing attention through debate performances and unconventional campaign tactics that resonate with undecided voters. Nithya Raman trails in third amid a crowded field where more than 40 percent of likely voters remained undecided in earlier surveys, leaving room for late shifts before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$2,283,263
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection municipale de Los Angeles » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Karen Bass » à 57%, suivi de « Spencer Pratt » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » a généré $2.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 9, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection municipale de Los Angeles », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » est « Karen Bass » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Spencer Pratt » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection municipale de Los Angeles » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.