**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 2 septembre ?
82-83 °F 60%
74-75 °F 48%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
17%
70-71 °F
33%
72-73 °F
33%
74-75 °F
48%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
37%
82-83 °F
60%
84-85°F
13%
86-87 °F
12%
88°F ou plus
3%
82-83 °F 60%
74-75 °F 48%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$15 Vol.
17%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
33%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
33%
74-75 °F
$0 Vol.
48%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
45%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
37%
82-83 °F
$15 Vol.
60%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
13%
86-87 °F
$5 Vol.
12%
88°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.**
Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.**
Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains are keeping overnight lows elevated in Austin, with current forecasts pointing to mid-to-upper 70s°F for the September 2 low.** Multiple model runs and agency guidance show south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph, partly cloudy skies, and high humidity limiting radiational cooling, producing minimum temperatures around 77–79°F. Historical early-September climatology averages closer to 71°F, but the ongoing heat dome—centered over the southern Plains and expected to linger through early September—has suppressed typical seasonal cooling. Minor model differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and moisture advection create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 74–77°F, while lower outcomes (70–73°F) would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently indicated. Upper-70s readings align with recent 10-day forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlets, though slight revisions in the next model cycle could shift odds within the narrow 74–79°F range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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