**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 10, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from sources tracking clear, dry conditions under light northerly winds, with overnight temperatures bottoming near 12°C after daytime highs reached 29–30°C. Recent cold-air advection has driven a cooling trend, producing morning lows several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.3°C for the date. Authoritative monitoring shows minimal cloud cover and dew points supportive of radiational cooling to this level, with model consensus holding steady into the resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision in official station data from the primary reporting site or an unforecasted microscale warming effect, both low-probability given consistent surface observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 10 septembre ?
12°C 99.6%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 99.6%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$91 Vol.
1%
9°C
$87 Vol.
1%
10°C
$93 Vol.
1%
11°C
$102 Vol.
1%
12°C
$155 Vol.
100%
13°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 10, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from sources tracking clear, dry conditions under light northerly winds, with overnight temperatures bottoming near 12°C after daytime highs reached 29–30°C. Recent cold-air advection has driven a cooling trend, producing morning lows several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.3°C for the date. Authoritative monitoring shows minimal cloud cover and dew points supportive of radiational cooling to this level, with model consensus holding steady into the resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision in official station data from the primary reporting site or an unforecasted microscale warming effect, both low-probability given consistent surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,020Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 10, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from sources tracking clear, dry conditions under light northerly winds, with overnight temperatures bottoming near 12°C after daytime highs reached 29–30°C. Recent cold-air advection has driven a cooling trend, producing morning lows several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.3°C for the date. Authoritative monitoring shows minimal cloud cover and dew points supportive of radiational cooling to this level, with model consensus holding steady into the resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision in official station data from the primary reporting site or an unforecasted microscale warming effect, both low-probability given consistent surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,020Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 12°C minimum in Beijing on September 10, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from sources tracking clear, dry conditions under light northerly winds, with overnight temperatures bottoming near 12°C after daytime highs reached 29–30°C. Recent cold-air advection has driven a cooling trend, producing morning lows several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.3°C for the date. Authoritative monitoring shows minimal cloud cover and dew points supportive of radiational cooling to this level, with model consensus holding steady into the resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a late revision in official station data from the primary reporting site or an unforecasted microscale warming effect, both low-probability given consistent surface observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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