**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on September 2, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 19–21 °C.** This consensus, combined with dew points around 17 °C and low precipitation risk, drives trader positioning, with the tight clustering at 17 °C (49 %) and 18 °C (45 %) reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that can alter the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages (lows near 15–18 °C) provide context but are outweighed by current synoptic conditions favoring milder readings. Updated model runs and official observations on September 2–3 will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 2 septembre ?
13°C or below 60%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 45%
18°C 42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
13°C or below
60%
14°C
39%
15°C
26%
16°C
29%
17°C
45%
18°C
42%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 60%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 45%
18°C 42%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
60%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$36 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
45%
18°C
$0 Vol.
42%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$20 Vol.
8%
22°C
$217 Vol.
10%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on September 2, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 19–21 °C.**
This consensus, combined with dew points around 17 °C and low precipitation risk, drives trader positioning, with the tight clustering at 17 °C (49 %) and 18 °C (45 %) reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that can alter the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages (lows near 15–18 °C) provide context but are outweighed by current synoptic conditions favoring milder readings. Updated model runs and official observations on September 2–3 will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$283Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on September 2, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 19–21 °C.**
This consensus, combined with dew points around 17 °C and low precipitation risk, drives trader positioning, with the tight clustering at 17 °C (49 %) and 18 °C (45 %) reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that can alter the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages (lows near 15–18 °C) provide context but are outweighed by current synoptic conditions favoring milder readings. Updated model runs and official observations on September 2–3 will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$283Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under stable high pressure with clear skies and light variable winds on September 2, 2026, supporting overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures near 19–21 °C.** This consensus, combined with dew points around 17 °C and low precipitation risk, drives trader positioning, with the tight clustering at 17 °C (49 %) and 18 °C (45 %) reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that can alter the nocturnal minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages (lows near 15–18 °C) provide context but are outweighed by current synoptic conditions favoring milder readings. Updated model runs and official observations on September 2–3 will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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