Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (46%) to a lowest temperature of 35°C or higher on August 31 in Jeddah, reflecting current model guidance showing persistently elevated overnight minima driven by high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, light northwest winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on nighttime lows near 30–32°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima hover around 29–30°C amid peak seasonal heat. Key variables include dew points remaining in the low 20s°C and minimal cloud cover that could allow slightly greater cooling, though model runs indicate stable steering patterns with little change expected before resolution. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will be the primary catalyst for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Djeddah le 31 août ?
35°C or higher 86%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
32°C 36%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
25%
32°C
36%
33°C
28%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
86%
35°C or higher 86%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
32°C 36%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
25%
32°C
36%
33°C
28%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (46%) to a lowest temperature of 35°C or higher on August 31 in Jeddah, reflecting current model guidance showing persistently elevated overnight minima driven by high humidity from the adjacent Red Sea, light northwest winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on nighttime lows near 30–32°C, consistent with August climatology where average minima hover around 29–30°C amid peak seasonal heat. Key variables include dew points remaining in the low 20s°C and minimal cloud cover that could allow slightly greater cooling, though model runs indicate stable steering patterns with little change expected before resolution. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will be the primary catalyst for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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