**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Jinan le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Jinan le 4 septembre ?
13°C 94%
12°C ou moins 29%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
29%
13°C
82%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 94%
12°C ou moins 29%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$321 Vol.
29%
13°C
$1,609 Vol.
82%
14°C
$189 Vol.
1%
15°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
1%
17°C
$227 Vol.
1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
1%
19°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.**
This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,918Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.**
This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,918Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources points to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan tonight, enabling strong radiative cooling under dry autumn conditions and positioning a minimum near 13°C as the dominant outcome.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 13°C (84.5% implied probability), while the 14.5% on 12°C or below reflects residual model spread and uncertainty in exact overnight lows. Current observations show daytime highs around 29–32°C with low humidity (around 40%), consistent with seasonal norms but favoring efficient heat loss after sunset. Upcoming official station readings from Jinan’s meteorological network will resolve the market, with traders incorporating the latest ECMWF and GFS runs showing limited cloud cover and minimal wind to sustain the cool minimum. Historical September lows average near 16–19°C, underscoring the slightly cooler-than-average pattern captured in the current odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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