A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is driving the market's emphasis on 15–16°C minima, as polar maritime air behind the system lowers overnight temperatures amid widespread rain and cloud cover. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional models indicate the front will arrive overnight or early Saturday, producing daytime highs near 21–27°C before radiative cooling under saturated conditions pushes lows into the mid-teens; some European model runs show potential for 14°C or lower if the air mass arrives stronger or winds remain light. Trader consensus on 15–16°C reflects this balance between typical September climatology (around 12°C average minimum) and the moderating influence of precipitation, while elevated odds on 12°C or below capture tail risk from faster intensification. Updated model guidance and official INMET briefings on Saturday morning will refine the exact overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 5 septembre ?
12°C ou moins 72%
13°C 70%
14°C 70%
22°C ou plus 59%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
72%
13°C
70%
14°C
70%
15°C
45%
16°C
50%
17°C
41%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C ou plus
59%
12°C ou moins 72%
13°C 70%
14°C 70%
22°C ou plus 59%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
72%
13°C
$0 Vol.
70%
14°C
$0 Vol.
70%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
41%
18°C
$316 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is driving the market's emphasis on 15–16°C minima, as polar maritime air behind the system lowers overnight temperatures amid widespread rain and cloud cover. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional models indicate the front will arrive overnight or early Saturday, producing daytime highs near 21–27°C before radiative cooling under saturated conditions pushes lows into the mid-teens; some European model runs show potential for 14°C or lower if the air mass arrives stronger or winds remain light. Trader consensus on 15–16°C reflects this balance between typical September climatology (around 12°C average minimum) and the moderating influence of precipitation, while elevated odds on 12°C or below capture tail risk from faster intensification. Updated model guidance and official INMET briefings on Saturday morning will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$316Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is driving the market's emphasis on 15–16°C minima, as polar maritime air behind the system lowers overnight temperatures amid widespread rain and cloud cover. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional models indicate the front will arrive overnight or early Saturday, producing daytime highs near 21–27°C before radiative cooling under saturated conditions pushes lows into the mid-teens; some European model runs show potential for 14°C or lower if the air mass arrives stronger or winds remain light. Trader consensus on 15–16°C reflects this balance between typical September climatology (around 12°C average minimum) and the moderating influence of precipitation, while elevated odds on 12°C or below capture tail risk from faster intensification. Updated model guidance and official INMET briefings on Saturday morning will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is driving the market's emphasis on 15–16°C minima, as polar maritime air behind the system lowers overnight temperatures amid widespread rain and cloud cover. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and regional models indicate the front will arrive overnight or early Saturday, producing daytime highs near 21–27°C before radiative cooling under saturated conditions pushes lows into the mid-teens; some European model runs show potential for 14°C or lower if the air mass arrives stronger or winds remain light. Trader consensus on 15–16°C reflects this balance between typical September climatology (around 12°C average minimum) and the moderating influence of precipitation, while elevated odds on 12°C or below capture tail risk from faster intensification. Updated model guidance and official INMET briefings on Saturday morning will refine the exact overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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