Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan through September 6, supporting nocturnal radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 21–22°C. This aligns with early-autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 20–21°C amid decreasing monsoon influence. Trader-implied odds cluster around 19–24°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speed can shift the low by 2–3°C, while the 34.5% chance assigned to 26°C or higher reflects lingering warm-air advection risks and the 29.5% on 16°C or below captures potential for stronger cooling under drier, clearer conditions. New model runs and updated surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 6 septembre ?
26°C ou plus 69%
16°C ou moins 59%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
59%
17°C
20%
18°C
42%
19°C
49%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
2%
26°C ou plus
69%
26°C ou plus 69%
16°C ou moins 59%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
59%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
42%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan through September 6, supporting nocturnal radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 21–22°C. This aligns with early-autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 20–21°C amid decreasing monsoon influence. Trader-implied odds cluster around 19–24°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speed can shift the low by 2–3°C, while the 34.5% chance assigned to 26°C or higher reflects lingering warm-air advection risks and the 29.5% on 16°C or below captures potential for stronger cooling under drier, clearer conditions. New model runs and updated surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan through September 6, supporting nocturnal radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 21–22°C. This aligns with early-autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 20–21°C amid decreasing monsoon influence. Trader-implied odds cluster around 19–24°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speed can shift the low by 2–3°C, while the 34.5% chance assigned to 26°C or higher reflects lingering warm-air advection risks and the 29.5% on 16°C or below captures potential for stronger cooling under drier, clearer conditions. New model runs and updated surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan through September 6, supporting nocturnal radiative cooling that favors a minimum near 21–22°C. This aligns with early-autumn climatology, where average lows hover around 20–21°C amid decreasing monsoon influence. Trader-implied odds cluster around 19–24°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speed can shift the low by 2–3°C, while the 34.5% chance assigned to 26°C or higher reflects lingering warm-air advection risks and the 29.5% on 16°C or below captures potential for stronger cooling under drier, clearer conditions. New model runs and updated surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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