Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 22 shows closely matched implied probabilities between warmer outcomes above 33°C and cooler readings at or below 23°C, with 27°C holding notable support. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum near 27–28°C under clear skies, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity from ongoing sea-breeze circulation. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention sustains elevated lows relative to historical September averages. Model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover, with fresh PMD updates and observational data expected to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Karachi le 22 septembre ?
33°C ou plus 84%
23°C ou moins 79%
27°C 44%
28°C 40%
23°C ou moins
79%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
36%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C ou plus
84%
33°C ou plus 84%
23°C ou moins 79%
27°C 44%
28°C 40%
23°C ou moins
79%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
36%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C ou plus
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 22 shows closely matched implied probabilities between warmer outcomes above 33°C and cooler readings at or below 23°C, with 27°C holding notable support. Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models indicate a minimum near 27–28°C under clear skies, moderate westerly winds, and high humidity from ongoing sea-breeze circulation. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling while urban heat retention sustains elevated lows relative to historical September averages. Model consensus on exact minimums remains sensitive to small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover, with fresh PMD updates and observational data expected to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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