Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment on 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in London on June 20, with those outcomes holding near-even implied probabilities. Building high pressure is drawing warmer air northward, raising overnight lows above recent cooler baselines while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating variables include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and London’s urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C between adjacent model runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 20 juin ?
18°C 48%
17°C 44%
16°C 9%
20°C 9%
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
9%
17°C
44%
18°C
48%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C ou plus
1%
18°C 48%
17°C 44%
16°C 9%
20°C 9%
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
9%
17°C
44%
18°C
48%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment on 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in London on June 20, with those outcomes holding near-even implied probabilities. Building high pressure is drawing warmer air northward, raising overnight lows above recent cooler baselines while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating variables include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and London’s urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C between adjacent model runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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