**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and other models points to an overnight low near 18°C in London on September 13, 2026, as the dominant factor supporting the market's 76% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, high humidity above 85%, and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle have limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Official guidance lists a minimum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble runs cluster around 17–18°C, with limited downside risk from clearer spells. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical September lows, with only modest probability assigned to 17°C or cooler readings pending final observational confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 13 septembre ?
18°C 95%
17°C 13%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$10,430 Vol.
$10,430 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
17%
18°C
76%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
18°C 95%
17°C 13%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$10,430 Vol.
$10,430 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$155 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$859 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,778 Vol.
17%
18°C
$2,661 Vol.
76%
19°C
$2,235 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and other models points to an overnight low near 18°C in London on September 13, 2026, as the dominant factor supporting the market's 76% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, high humidity above 85%, and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle have limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Official guidance lists a minimum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble runs cluster around 17–18°C, with limited downside risk from clearer spells. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical September lows, with only modest probability assigned to 17°C or cooler readings pending final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10,430Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and other models points to an overnight low near 18°C in London on September 13, 2026, as the dominant factor supporting the market's 76% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, high humidity above 85%, and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle have limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Official guidance lists a minimum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble runs cluster around 17–18°C, with limited downside risk from clearer spells. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical September lows, with only modest probability assigned to 17°C or cooler readings pending final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,430Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Met Office and other models points to an overnight low near 18°C in London on September 13, 2026, as the dominant factor supporting the market's 76% implied probability for that outcome.** Mild southwesterly flow, high humidity above 85%, and persistent cloud cover with light rain or drizzle have limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above seasonal norms. Official guidance lists a minimum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies, yet ensemble runs cluster around 17–18°C, with limited downside risk from clearer spells. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical September lows, with only modest probability assigned to 17°C or cooler readings pending final observational confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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