Recent forecasts from models including GFS and European guidance point to clear skies and light northerly winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting radiative nighttime cooling under a building high-pressure ridge after the recent cool anomaly that produced the city's coldest August day in 28 years. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 17–20°C range, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 18°C, though model spreads and the prior cool air intrusion sustain market-implied odds favoring 16°C or below as the leading outcome. Updated runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 31 août ?
16°C or below 71%
18°C 24%
17°C 23%
20°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
16°C or below
71%
17°C
23%
18°C
24%
19°C
10%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
5%
16°C or below 71%
18°C 24%
17°C 23%
20°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
71%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19°C
$20 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
15%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and European guidance point to clear skies and light northerly winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting radiative nighttime cooling under a building high-pressure ridge after the recent cool anomaly that produced the city's coldest August day in 28 years. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 17–20°C range, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 18°C, though model spreads and the prior cool air intrusion sustain market-implied odds favoring 16°C or below as the leading outcome. Updated runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and European guidance point to clear skies and light northerly winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting radiative nighttime cooling under a building high-pressure ridge after the recent cool anomaly that produced the city's coldest August day in 28 years. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 17–20°C range, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 18°C, though model spreads and the prior cool air intrusion sustain market-implied odds favoring 16°C or below as the leading outcome. Updated runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and European guidance point to clear skies and light northerly winds over Madrid on August 31, supporting radiative nighttime cooling under a building high-pressure ridge after the recent cool anomaly that produced the city's coldest August day in 28 years. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 17–20°C range, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 18°C, though model spreads and the prior cool air intrusion sustain market-implied odds favoring 16°C or below as the leading outcome. Updated runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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