Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range under weakening southwest monsoon flow and prevailing easterlies, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity and light winds reduce heat loss, keeping minima close to seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Stronger El Niño conditions across the Pacific support slightly elevated baseline temperatures but play a secondary role compared with local convection and cloud dynamics. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects this balance, with outcomes diverging on whether clearer breaks allow deeper cooling or persistent clouds and showers hold temperatures higher. PAGASA and updated ECMWF/GFS runs tomorrow will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 15 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 45%
31°C ou plus 45%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
45%
22°C
13%
23°C
21%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C ou plus
45%
21°C ou moins 45%
31°C ou plus 45%
26°C 29%
27°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
45%
22°C
$10 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$10 Vol.
17%
30°C
$10 Vol.
17%
31°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range under weakening southwest monsoon flow and prevailing easterlies, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity and light winds reduce heat loss, keeping minima close to seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Stronger El Niño conditions across the Pacific support slightly elevated baseline temperatures but play a secondary role compared with local convection and cloud dynamics. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects this balance, with outcomes diverging on whether clearer breaks allow deeper cooling or persistent clouds and showers hold temperatures higher. PAGASA and updated ECMWF/GFS runs tomorrow will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$50Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range under weakening southwest monsoon flow and prevailing easterlies, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity and light winds reduce heat loss, keeping minima close to seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Stronger El Niño conditions across the Pacific support slightly elevated baseline temperatures but play a secondary role compared with local convection and cloud dynamics. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects this balance, with outcomes diverging on whether clearer breaks allow deeper cooling or persistent clouds and showers hold temperatures higher. PAGASA and updated ECMWF/GFS runs tomorrow will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will likely settle in the 24–26°C range under weakening southwest monsoon flow and prevailing easterlies, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while high humidity and light winds reduce heat loss, keeping minima close to seasonal norms near 25–26°C. Stronger El Niño conditions across the Pacific support slightly elevated baseline temperatures but play a secondary role compared with local convection and cloud dynamics. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects this balance, with outcomes diverging on whether clearer breaks allow deeper cooling or persistent clouds and showers hold temperatures higher. PAGASA and updated ECMWF/GFS runs tomorrow will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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