Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Manila, keeping the expected minimum temperature clustered in the mid-20s Celsius on September 21. Official forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C, though variable rain timing and wind shifts could allow brief drops toward 24–25°C or hold readings slightly higher. The tightly bunched market-implied odds around 23–27°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and modest model differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer moisture rather than any unusual atmospheric setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 21 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 21 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 90%
22°C 90%
25°C 48%
26°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
21°C ou moins 90%
22°C 90%
25°C 48%
26°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$1 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$5 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Manila, keeping the expected minimum temperature clustered in the mid-20s Celsius on September 21. Official forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C, though variable rain timing and wind shifts could allow brief drops toward 24–25°C or hold readings slightly higher. The tightly bunched market-implied odds around 23–27°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and modest model differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer moisture rather than any unusual atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$117Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Manila, keeping the expected minimum temperature clustered in the mid-20s Celsius on September 21. Official forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C, though variable rain timing and wind shifts could allow brief drops toward 24–25°C or hold readings slightly higher. The tightly bunched market-implied odds around 23–27°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and modest model differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer moisture rather than any unusual atmospheric setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the southwest monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Manila, keeping the expected minimum temperature clustered in the mid-20s Celsius on September 21. Official forecasts show overnight lows near 26–27°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C, though variable rain timing and wind shifts could allow brief drops toward 24–25°C or hold readings slightly higher. The tightly bunched market-implied odds around 23–27°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and modest model differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer moisture rather than any unusual atmospheric setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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