Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Munich le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Munich le 9 septembre ?
13°C 99.5%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 Vol.
$1,480 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Oui
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C ou plus
Non
13°C 99.5%
8°C ou moins <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 Vol.
$1,480 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$113 Vol.
Non
9°C
$121 Vol.
Non
10°C
$65 Vol.
Non
11°C
$30 Vol.
Non
12°C
$30 Vol.
Non
13°C
$47 Vol.
Oui
14°C
$20 Vol.
Non
15°C
$143 Vol.
Non
16°C
$50 Vol.
Non
17°C
$801 Vol.
Non
18°C ou plus
$60 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,480Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,480Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes