Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 21, driven by moderating Yellow Sea waters and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds, which can shift minimum temperatures by 2–3°C through differences in nocturnal heat loss. Historical September climatology for the coastal station averages around 18°C, providing context for why traders assign near-even implied probabilities to 17°C versus 20°C outcomes while discounting extremes below 15°C or above 21°C absent major pattern shifts. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Qingdao le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Qingdao le 21 septembre ?
15°C ou moins 100%
16°C 97%
20°C 97%
17°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
100%
16°C
97%
17°C
50%
18°C
21%
19°C
47%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
15°C ou moins 100%
16°C 97%
20°C 97%
17°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$0 Vol.
97%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$17 Vol.
21%
19°C
$75 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
97%
21°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 21, driven by moderating Yellow Sea waters and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds, which can shift minimum temperatures by 2–3°C through differences in nocturnal heat loss. Historical September climatology for the coastal station averages around 18°C, providing context for why traders assign near-even implied probabilities to 17°C versus 20°C outcomes while discounting extremes below 15°C or above 21°C absent major pattern shifts. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$252Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 21, driven by moderating Yellow Sea waters and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds, which can shift minimum temperatures by 2–3°C through differences in nocturnal heat loss. Historical September climatology for the coastal station averages around 18°C, providing context for why traders assign near-even implied probabilities to 17°C versus 20°C outcomes while discounting extremes below 15°C or above 21°C absent major pattern shifts. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 21, driven by moderating Yellow Sea waters and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and exact wind speeds, which can shift minimum temperatures by 2–3°C through differences in nocturnal heat loss. Historical September climatology for the coastal station averages around 18°C, providing context for why traders assign near-even implied probabilities to 17°C versus 20°C outcomes while discounting extremes below 15°C or above 21°C absent major pattern shifts. Updated guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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