Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 66°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the 66-67°F bin that commands over 95% implied probability. This value occurred amid a pronounced warm anomaly, with the daily maximum reaching 94°F—19°F above the 1991-2020 normal—driven by clear skies, light southwest winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. Historical September lows average near 56°F, making this reading a significant outlier consistent with the ongoing heat event. Market consensus reflects high confidence in the verified station data, though minor discrepancies could arise from alternative microclimate stations or rounding conventions in final climatological summaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 9 septembre ?
66-67°F 99.5%
55°F ou moins 1.0%
60-61°F 1.0%
62-63 °F 1.0%
$1,835 Vol.
$1,835 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63 °F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67°F
Oui
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74°F ou plus
Non
66-67°F 99.5%
55°F ou moins 1.0%
60-61°F 1.0%
62-63 °F 1.0%
$1,835 Vol.
$1,835 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
$57 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$138 Vol.
Non
58-59 °F
$65 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$26 Vol.
Non
62-63 °F
$25 Vol.
Non
64-65°F
$190 Vol.
Non
66-67°F
$760 Vol.
Oui
68-69°F
$70 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$308 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$130 Vol.
Non
74°F ou plus
$67 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 66°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the 66-67°F bin that commands over 95% implied probability. This value occurred amid a pronounced warm anomaly, with the daily maximum reaching 94°F—19°F above the 1991-2020 normal—driven by clear skies, light southwest winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. Historical September lows average near 56°F, making this reading a significant outlier consistent with the ongoing heat event. Market consensus reflects high confidence in the verified station data, though minor discrepancies could arise from alternative microclimate stations or rounding conventions in final climatological summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,835Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 66°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the 66-67°F bin that commands over 95% implied probability. This value occurred amid a pronounced warm anomaly, with the daily maximum reaching 94°F—19°F above the 1991-2020 normal—driven by clear skies, light southwest winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. Historical September lows average near 56°F, making this reading a significant outlier consistent with the ongoing heat event. Market consensus reflects high confidence in the verified station data, though minor discrepancies could arise from alternative microclimate stations or rounding conventions in final climatological summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,835Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 66°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 9, 2026, aligning precisely with the 66-67°F bin that commands over 95% implied probability. This value occurred amid a pronounced warm anomaly, with the daily maximum reaching 94°F—19°F above the 1991-2020 normal—driven by clear skies, light southwest winds, and elevated dew points that limited nocturnal cooling. Historical September lows average near 56°F, making this reading a significant outlier consistent with the ongoing heat event. Market consensus reflects high confidence in the verified station data, though minor discrepancies could arise from alternative microclimate stations or rounding conventions in final climatological summaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle entre 58-59°F le 21 septembre ?
53%
Oui
La température minimale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59 °F le 22 septembre ?
37%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57°F le 20 septembre ?
56%
Oui
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