Current forecast models for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on August 19 amid typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These values align with seasonal baselines near 25–26°C and recent extended guidance showing minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence in the East China Sea through mid-week. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 27°C as the leading outcome because ensemble runs from major agencies exhibit tight clustering around this range, with only modest spread from cloud cover variations. Upcoming model updates and official China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 19 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 19 août ?
27°C 56%
26°C 22%
28°C 16%
29°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
22%
27°C
56%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
27°C 56%
26°C 22%
28°C 16%
29°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
3%
25°C
$40 Vol.
4%
26°C
$205 Vol.
22%
27°C
$445 Vol.
56%
28°C
$12 Vol.
16%
29°C
$30 Vol.
4%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on August 19 amid typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These values align with seasonal baselines near 25–26°C and recent extended guidance showing minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence in the East China Sea through mid-week. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 27°C as the leading outcome because ensemble runs from major agencies exhibit tight clustering around this range, with only modest spread from cloud cover variations. Upcoming model updates and official China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$767Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on August 19 amid typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These values align with seasonal baselines near 25–26°C and recent extended guidance showing minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence in the East China Sea through mid-week. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 27°C as the leading outcome because ensemble runs from major agencies exhibit tight clustering around this range, with only modest spread from cloud cover variations. Upcoming model updates and official China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$767Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Shanghai point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on August 19 amid typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These values align with seasonal baselines near 25–26°C and recent extended guidance showing minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence in the East China Sea through mid-week. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 27°C as the leading outcome because ensemble runs from major agencies exhibit tight clustering around this range, with only modest spread from cloud cover variations. Upcoming model updates and official China Meteorological Administration briefings could refine the exact minimum if precipitation timing shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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