Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei hovering between 26–27°C on August 29, aligning with the near-even market split between these two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect sustains elevated minimums typical for late-summer subtropical conditions. Model consensus shows minimal divergence on steering patterns or cold-air intrusions, with any variance hinging on exact timing of evening convection and dew-point depression. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current warm advection keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Taipei le 29 août ?
La température la plus basse à Taipei le 29 août ?
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
24°C 5%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 47%
24°C 5%
23°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 août 2026
22°C or below
$34 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$34 Vol.
1%
24°C
$86 Vol.
5%
25°C
$10 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$101 Vol.
51%
28°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei hovering between 26–27°C on August 29, aligning with the near-even market split between these two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect sustains elevated minimums typical for late-summer subtropical conditions. Model consensus shows minimal divergence on steering patterns or cold-air intrusions, with any variance hinging on exact timing of evening convection and dew-point depression. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current warm advection keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,164Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei hovering between 26–27°C on August 29, aligning with the near-even market split between these two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect sustains elevated minimums typical for late-summer subtropical conditions. Model consensus shows minimal divergence on steering patterns or cold-air intrusions, with any variance hinging on exact timing of evening convection and dew-point depression. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current warm advection keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,164Date de fin
29 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei hovering between 26–27°C on August 29, aligning with the near-even market split between these two outcomes. Persistent high humidity near 80–90%, light variable winds, and extensive cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect sustains elevated minimums typical for late-summer subtropical conditions. Model consensus shows minimal divergence on steering patterns or cold-air intrusions, with any variance hinging on exact timing of evening convection and dew-point depression. Historical August minima average near 25–26°C, but current warm advection keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the observed forecast range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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