Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate the primary driver behind the tightly clustered market odds is a consensus for overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, producing minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv of 24–26 °C on September 2. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and cloud-cover timing across model runs create the near-even implied probabilities among these adjacent outcomes, while historical September climatology (typical lows near 25 °C) anchors expectations. With resolution imminent, the next high-resolution model updates will likely sharpen the precise minimum before official station readings finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 2 septembre ?
27°C 100%
23°C 99%
22°C 98%
24°C 51%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
<1%
21°C
47%
22°C
98%
23°C
99%
24°C
51%
25°C
-
26°C
49%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100%
23°C 99%
22°C 98%
24°C 51%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
<1%
21°C
47%
22°C
98%
23°C
99%
24°C
51%
25°C
-
26°C
49%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate the primary driver behind the tightly clustered market odds is a consensus for overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, producing minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv of 24–26 °C on September 2. Subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and cloud-cover timing across model runs create the near-even implied probabilities among these adjacent outcomes, while historical September climatology (typical lows near 25 °C) anchors expectations. With resolution imminent, the next high-resolution model updates will likely sharpen the precise minimum before official station readings finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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