Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 14 août ?
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$11,604 Vol.
$11,604 Vol.
14 août 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$11,604 Vol.
$11,604 Vol.
14 août 2026
19°C ou moins
$329 Vol.
Non
20°C
$335 Vol.
Non
21°C
$540 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,001 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,089 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$2,512 Vol.
Non
25°C
$2,406 Vol.
Non
26°C
$632 Vol.
Non
27°C
$1,220 Vol.
Non
28°C
$227 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$314 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,604Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,604Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 23°C for Tokyo on August 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds and scattered showers. This aligns closely with the August climatological normal of 23.6°C, where persistent high humidity and the urban heat island effect from Tokyo's dense infrastructure typically restrict overnight radiative cooling to maintain lows near this threshold. Ensemble model consensus shows limited variability around these values. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected clear-sky intervals promoting greater heat loss, stronger winds enhancing mixing, or late forecast revisions from official monitoring updates before the daily minimum is recorded. Trader consensus at 100% for 23°C reflects this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and near-term model guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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