Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, indicate a low near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 15 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms around 14°C while keeping the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher outcomes evenly matched at 45% each. Key variables include the strength of the approaching low-pressure system and any late shifts in wind direction that could allow clearer skies or a brief northerly push. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Environment Canada briefings ahead of the resolution window, as small changes in timing or moisture could tip the minimum several degrees in either direction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 15 septembre ?
8°C ou moins 86%
18°C ou plus 84%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
8°C ou moins
86%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C ou plus
84%
8°C ou moins 86%
18°C ou plus 84%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
8°C ou moins
86%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
30%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C ou plus
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS guidance, indicate a low near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 15 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms around 14°C while keeping the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher outcomes evenly matched at 45% each. Key variables include the strength of the approaching low-pressure system and any late shifts in wind direction that could allow clearer skies or a brief northerly push. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Environment Canada briefings ahead of the resolution window, as small changes in timing or moisture could tip the minimum several degrees in either direction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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