Lyntris's recent S-1/A filing on August 10, 2026, set IPO terms of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-offering market capitalization of up to $2.53 billion at the high end and positioning the $2.5B–$3B and $2B–$2.5B ranges as the leading outcomes. Strong investor appetite for defense-technology listings, driven by geopolitical demand and sector momentum, supports these valuations alongside TTM revenue of $451 million. However, the company's net losses, limited operating history since its 2026 formation via Trive Capital roll-ups, and the August 19 expected NYSE debut under ticker LYNX introduce pricing uncertainty. The closely matched probabilities reflect trader focus on actual first-day and closing performance versus the filed range amid volatile equity markets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$ 37%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars 33%
<2 milliards $ 7%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars 7%
$10,629 Vol.
$10,629 Vol.
19 août 2026
<2 milliards $
7%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars
33%
2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$
37%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars
7%
3,5 G$-4 G$
5%
4 milliards $+
5%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant octobre 2026
1%
2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$ 37%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars 33%
<2 milliards $ 7%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars 7%
$10,629 Vol.
$10,629 Vol.
19 août 2026
<2 milliards $
$1,696 Vol.
7%
2 à 2,5 milliards de dollars
$1,734 Vol.
33%
2,5 Md$ – 3 Md$
$1,956 Vol.
37%
3-3,5 milliards de dollars
$2,851 Vol.
7%
3,5 G$-4 G$
$1,250 Vol.
5%
4 milliards $+
$751 Vol.
5%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant octobre 2026
$391 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Lyntris's recent S-1/A filing on August 10, 2026, set IPO terms of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-offering market capitalization of up to $2.53 billion at the high end and positioning the $2.5B–$3B and $2B–$2.5B ranges as the leading outcomes. Strong investor appetite for defense-technology listings, driven by geopolitical demand and sector momentum, supports these valuations alongside TTM revenue of $451 million. However, the company's net losses, limited operating history since its 2026 formation via Trive Capital roll-ups, and the August 19 expected NYSE debut under ticker LYNX introduce pricing uncertainty. The closely matched probabilities reflect trader focus on actual first-day and closing performance versus the filed range amid volatile equity markets.
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ET
Volume
$10,629Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Lyntris's recent S-1/A filing on August 10, 2026, set IPO terms of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-offering market capitalization of up to $2.53 billion at the high end and positioning the $2.5B–$3B and $2B–$2.5B ranges as the leading outcomes. Strong investor appetite for defense-technology listings, driven by geopolitical demand and sector momentum, supports these valuations alongside TTM revenue of $451 million. However, the company's net losses, limited operating history since its 2026 formation via Trive Capital roll-ups, and the August 19 expected NYSE debut under ticker LYNX introduce pricing uncertainty. The closely matched probabilities reflect trader focus on actual first-day and closing performance versus the filed range amid volatile equity markets.
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$10,629Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lyntris's recent S-1/A filing on August 10, 2026, set IPO terms of 24 million shares at $19–$22, implying a post-offering market capitalization of up to $2.53 billion at the high end and positioning the $2.5B–$3B and $2B–$2.5B ranges as the leading outcomes. Strong investor appetite for defense-technology listings, driven by geopolitical demand and sector momentum, supports these valuations alongside TTM revenue of $451 million. However, the company's net losses, limited operating history since its 2026 formation via Trive Capital roll-ups, and the August 19 expected NYSE debut under ticker LYNX introduce pricing uncertainty. The closely matched probabilities reflect trader focus on actual first-day and closing performance versus the filed range amid volatile equity markets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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