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icon for Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ?
Tech·AI

Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ?

icon for Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ?
Tech·AI

Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ?

1er septembre 38%

10 septembre 38%

15 septembre 38%

18 septembre 38%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

1er septembre 38%

10 septembre 38%

15 septembre 38%

18 septembre 38%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Le ou avant le 25 août

$0 Vol.

22%

26 août

$0 Vol.

22%

27 août

$0 Vol.

21%

28 août

$0 Vol.

22%

29 août

$50 Vol.

8%

30 août

$50 Vol.

6%

31 août

$0 Vol.

22%

1er septembre

$0 Vol.

38%

2 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

3 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

4 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

5 septembre

$0 Vol.

21%

6 septembre

$0 Vol.

21%

7 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

8 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

9 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

10 septembre

$0 Vol.

38%

11 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

12 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

13 septembre

$0 Vol.

21%

14 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

15 septembre

$0 Vol.

38%

16 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

17 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

18 septembre

$0 Vol.

38%

19 septembre

$0 Vol.

38%

20 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

21 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

22 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

23 septembre

$0 Vol.

37%

24 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

25 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

26 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

27 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

28 septembre

$0 Vol.

21%

29 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

30 septembre

$0 Vol.

26%

Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre

$0 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model (following the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5) shows closely matched market-implied odds clustered around early-to-mid September dates at roughly 37%, reflecting uncertainty over development timelines and safety guardrails for these high-capability large language models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and xAI, alongside Anthropic’s focus on cybersecurity benchmarks and controlled access programs like Project Glasswing, continues to shape release pacing. Key swing factors include any official announcements, regulatory shifts on export controls, or internal progress on long-horizon reasoning features, with substantial probability also priced on no release by September 30.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$100
Date de fin
30 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model (following the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5) shows closely matched market-implied odds clustered around early-to-mid September dates at roughly 37%, reflecting uncertainty over development timelines and safety guardrails for these high-capability large language models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and xAI, alongside Anthropic’s focus on cybersecurity benchmarks and controlled access programs like Project Glasswing, continues to shape release pacing. Key swing factors include any official announcements, regulatory shifts on export controls, or internal progress on long-horizon reasoning features, with substantial probability also priced on no release by September 30.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$100
Date de fin
30 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Connexes

icon for Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié d'ici le 31 octobre 2026 ?

Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié d'ici le 31 octobre 2026 ?

93%
Oui
icon for Le prochain modèle Claude Haiku sera-t-il publié avant le 31 octobre 2026 ?

Le prochain modèle Claude Haiku sera-t-il publié avant le 31 octobre 2026 ?

57%
Oui
icon for Le prochain modèle Claude Sonnet sera-t-il publié d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Le prochain modèle Claude Sonnet sera-t-il publié d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

84%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 38 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1er septembre » à 38%, suivi de « 10 septembre » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ? », parcourez les 38 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ? » est « 1er septembre » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 10 septembre » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain modèle de classe Mythos publié le… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.