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icon for No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

icon for No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

12% chance
Polymarket

$18,020 Vol.

12% chance
Polymarket

$18,020 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting. Labour’s commanding parliamentary majority, secured in the 2024 general election, continues to insulate Keir Starmer’s government from any realistic prospect of a no-confidence motion reaching a vote before June 30. Recent opposition calls from the Conservatives and SNP, triggered by local-election setbacks and the Mandelson appointment controversy, have produced public statements but no formal tabled motion. Junior-minister resignations and internal grumbling have surfaced, yet party whips have maintained discipline and no cross-party coalition has materialised to force Commons time. With only weeks remaining and no scheduled procedural trigger before the deadline, traders assign an 88.5 percent probability that no such vote will occur.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$18,020
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting. Labour’s commanding parliamentary majority, secured in the 2024 general election, continues to insulate Keir Starmer’s government from any realistic prospect of a no-confidence motion reaching a vote before June 30. Recent opposition calls from the Conservatives and SNP, triggered by local-election setbacks and the Mandelson appointment controversy, have produced public statements but no formal tabled motion. Junior-minister resignations and internal grumbling have surfaced, yet party whips have maintained discipline and no cross-party coalition has materialised to force Commons time. With only weeks remaining and no scheduled procedural trigger before the deadline, traders assign an 88.5 percent probability that no such vote will occur.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$18,020
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 12% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 12¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 12% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? » a généré $18K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? » est de 12% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 12% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.