Labour’s commanding parliamentary majority, secured in the 2024 general election, continues to insulate Keir Starmer’s government from any realistic prospect of a no-confidence motion reaching a vote before June 30. Recent opposition calls from the Conservatives and SNP, triggered by local-election setbacks and the Mandelson appointment controversy, have produced public statements but no formal tabled motion. Junior-minister resignations and internal grumbling have surfaced, yet party whips have maintained discipline and no cross-party coalition has materialised to force Commons time. With only weeks remaining and no scheduled procedural trigger before the deadline, traders assign an 88.5 percent probability that no such vote will occur.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
$18,020 Vol.
This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Labour’s commanding parliamentary majority, secured in the 2024 general election, continues to insulate Keir Starmer’s government from any realistic prospect of a no-confidence motion reaching a vote before June 30. Recent opposition calls from the Conservatives and SNP, triggered by local-election setbacks and the Mandelson appointment controversy, have produced public statements but no formal tabled motion. Junior-minister resignations and internal grumbling have surfaced, yet party whips have maintained discipline and no cross-party coalition has materialised to force Commons time. With only weeks remaining and no scheduled procedural trigger before the deadline, traders assign an 88.5 percent probability that no such vote will occur.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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