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icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

NOUVEAU
17 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Polymarket

July 17

$1 Vol.

46%

July 31

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Date de fin
31 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Date de fin
31 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vučić officially leaves office by…? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « July 31 » à 48%, suivi de « July 17 » à 46%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vučić officially leaves office by…? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vučić officially leaves office by…? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vučić officially leaves office by…? » est « July 31 » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « July 17 » à 46%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vučić officially leaves office by…? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.