Following the January 3, 2026, US special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for extradition to face US charges, no further US military incursions into Venezuela have occurred, with focus shifting to diplomatic stabilization under interim President Delcy Rodríguez. The US lifted sanctions on Rodríguez in early April, deploying over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to Caracas to facilitate elections and curb chavismo hardliners like Diosdado Cabello. Recent oil majors' interest, including ExxonMobil eyeing vast reserves, underscores economic recovery efforts amid Trump's speculative statehood remarks. Opposition leader María Corina Machado plans an imminent return, potentially pressuring elections, but absent escalation signals or threats from holdouts, diplomatic channels dominate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,298,246 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
30 juin
6%
$1,298,246 Vol.
30 juin
$213,483 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the January 3, 2026, US special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for extradition to face US charges, no further US military incursions into Venezuela have occurred, with focus shifting to diplomatic stabilization under interim President Delcy Rodríguez. The US lifted sanctions on Rodríguez in early April, deploying over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to Caracas to facilitate elections and curb chavismo hardliners like Diosdado Cabello. Recent oil majors' interest, including ExxonMobil eyeing vast reserves, underscores economic recovery efforts amid Trump's speculative statehood remarks. Opposition leader María Corina Machado plans an imminent return, potentially pressuring elections, but absent escalation signals or threats from holdouts, diplomatic channels dominate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,246Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the January 3, 2026, US special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for extradition to face US charges, no further US military incursions into Venezuela have occurred, with focus shifting to diplomatic stabilization under interim President Delcy Rodríguez. The US lifted sanctions on Rodríguez in early April, deploying over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to Caracas to facilitate elections and curb chavismo hardliners like Diosdado Cabello. Recent oil majors' interest, including ExxonMobil eyeing vast reserves, underscores economic recovery efforts amid Trump's speculative statehood remarks. Opposition leader María Corina Machado plans an imminent return, potentially pressuring elections, but absent escalation signals or threats from holdouts, diplomatic channels dominate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,246Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the January 3, 2026, US special forces raid that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for extradition to face US charges, no further US military incursions into Venezuela have occurred, with focus shifting to diplomatic stabilization under interim President Delcy Rodríguez. The US lifted sanctions on Rodríguez in early April, deploying over 100 diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors to Caracas to facilitate elections and curb chavismo hardliners like Diosdado Cabello. Recent oil majors' interest, including ExxonMobil eyeing vast reserves, underscores economic recovery efforts amid Trump's speculative statehood remarks. Opposition leader María Corina Machado plans an imminent return, potentially pressuring elections, but absent escalation signals or threats from holdouts, diplomatic channels dominate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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