Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour39.5–39.9 50%
40.0+ 49%
39.0–39.4 48%
<38.0 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 juil. 2026
<38.0
45%
38.0–38.4
45%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0–39.4
48%
39.5–39.9
50%
40.0+
49%
39.5–39.9 50%
40.0+ 49%
39.0–39.4 48%
<38.0 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 juil. 2026
<38.0
$0 Vol.
45%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
45%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
45%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
48%
39.5–39.9
$0 Vol.
50%
40.0+
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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