María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, has remained outside Venezuela since secretly departing in December 2025 amid the post-Maduro transition under acting President Delcy Rodríguez. Multiple return attempts in late June 2026, triggered by devastating earthquakes that killed over 1,400, were blocked by U.S. administration concerns over rescue operations and political risks, airline refusals, alleged airspace restrictions by Caracas, and her lack of a valid passport. She continues to state her intent to return before year-end to support humanitarian efforts and political activities, while U.S. officials have signaled caution and the Rodríguez government maintains barriers. Trader assessments hinge on diplomatic breakthroughs, security guarantees, or shifts in interim governance ahead of scheduled resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMaría Corina Machado entre au Venezuela par... ?
$6,411,179 Vol.

31 août
2%

30 septembre
7%

31 décembre
29%
$6,411,179 Vol.

31 août
2%

30 septembre
7%

31 décembre
29%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, has remained outside Venezuela since secretly departing in December 2025 amid the post-Maduro transition under acting President Delcy Rodríguez. Multiple return attempts in late June 2026, triggered by devastating earthquakes that killed over 1,400, were blocked by U.S. administration concerns over rescue operations and political risks, airline refusals, alleged airspace restrictions by Caracas, and her lack of a valid passport. She continues to state her intent to return before year-end to support humanitarian efforts and political activities, while U.S. officials have signaled caution and the Rodríguez government maintains barriers. Trader assessments hinge on diplomatic breakthroughs, security guarantees, or shifts in interim governance ahead of scheduled resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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