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icon for Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ?

Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ?

icon for Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ?

Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ?

20-39 52%

140-159 45%

160-179 39%

180-199 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

20-39 52%

140-159 45%

160-179 39%

180-199 39%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<20

$30 Vol.

19%

20-39

$10 Vol.

66%

40-59

$0 Vol.

30%

60-79

$30 Vol.

20%

80-99

$30 Vol.

19%

100-119

$30 Vol.

20%

120-139

$71 Vol.

17%

140-159

$43 Vol.

45%

160-179

$43 Vol.

39%

180-199

$43 Vol.

39%

200+

$43 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$375
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (66%) to the 20-39 posts range for June 16-23 based on patterns observed since inauguration. This moderate volume aligns with roughly three to five daily updates on routine city operations, events, and policy announcements, absent any major scheduled catalysts or breaking developments in the immediate period that would drive higher output. Secondary ranges such as 40-59 (29.5%) and various higher bins around 19-22.5% reflect limited expectations of spikes from unfolding issues like public safety, events planning, or legislative activity, while lower bins near 19% price in the low likelihood of unusually quiet weeks. Market positioning draws from the administration's established communications rhythm rather than short-term volatility.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$375
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 20-39 » à 66%, suivi de « 40-59 » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 66¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 66% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ? » est « 20-39 » à 66%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 66% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 40-59 » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Maire de New York # posts 16 juin - 23 juin 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.