Recent polling from sources including YouGov, Ipsos, and aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval near 36-39 percent as of early August 2026, driven primarily by sustained public dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and the ongoing stalemate in the Iran conflict. These pressures have produced new second-term lows in net approval near -20 to -25 points, with particular erosion among independents and on economic management. The tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 37-39 percent bins reflects this stability in recent surveys, with few major catalysts emerging in the final days before August 14. Developments such as concrete diplomatic progress on Iran, favorable economic data releases, or escalation in foreign policy could shift sentiment in either direction before the measurement date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour37,0–37,4 38%
37,5–37,9 38%
38,0–38,4 38%
38,5–38,9 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
<37,0
16%
37,0–37,4
38%
37,5–37,9
38%
38,0–38,4
38%
38,5–38,9
38%
39,0+
38%
37,0–37,4 38%
37,5–37,9 38%
38,0–38,4 38%
38,5–38,9 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
<37,0
$0 Vol.
16%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
38%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
38%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
38%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
38%
39,0+
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from sources including YouGov, Ipsos, and aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval near 36-39 percent as of early August 2026, driven primarily by sustained public dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and the ongoing stalemate in the Iran conflict. These pressures have produced new second-term lows in net approval near -20 to -25 points, with particular erosion among independents and on economic management. The tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 37-39 percent bins reflects this stability in recent surveys, with few major catalysts emerging in the final days before August 14. Developments such as concrete diplomatic progress on Iran, favorable economic data releases, or escalation in foreign policy could shift sentiment in either direction before the measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from sources including YouGov, Ipsos, and aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval near 36-39 percent as of early August 2026, driven primarily by sustained public dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and the ongoing stalemate in the Iran conflict. These pressures have produced new second-term lows in net approval near -20 to -25 points, with particular erosion among independents and on economic management. The tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 37-39 percent bins reflects this stability in recent surveys, with few major catalysts emerging in the final days before August 14. Developments such as concrete diplomatic progress on Iran, favorable economic data releases, or escalation in foreign policy could shift sentiment in either direction before the measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources including YouGov, Ipsos, and aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval near 36-39 percent as of early August 2026, driven primarily by sustained public dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and the ongoing stalemate in the Iran conflict. These pressures have produced new second-term lows in net approval near -20 to -25 points, with particular erosion among independents and on economic management. The tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 37-39 percent bins reflects this stability in recent surveys, with few major catalysts emerging in the final days before August 14. Developments such as concrete diplomatic progress on Iran, favorable economic data releases, or escalation in foreign policy could shift sentiment in either direction before the measurement date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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