The high probability assigned to the outcome not occurring stems from the absence of any US military seizure or formal reclamation of sovereignty over the Panama Canal since the 1999 handover. Instead, the Trump administration has pursued diplomatic pressure and commercial realignments to curb Chinese-linked operations at the waterway’s ports, including Panama’s February 2026 court-ordered takeover of two terminals previously run by Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison and their subsequent handover to US-aligned operators such as APM Terminals and a BlackRock-backed entity. Senior officials, including the secretary of state and defense secretary, have framed recent visits as cooperative efforts with Panama to ensure neutrality and limit foreign influence, while Panamanian authorities have reaffirmed full operational control and normal transits. No legislative, treaty-reversal, or armed measures have advanced, leaving the 2027 timeline without credible catalysts for outright US assumption of control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$78,260 Vol.
$78,260 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$78,260 Vol.
$78,260 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.The high probability assigned to the outcome not occurring stems from the absence of any US military seizure or formal reclamation of sovereignty over the Panama Canal since the 1999 handover. Instead, the Trump administration has pursued diplomatic pressure and commercial realignments to curb Chinese-linked operations at the waterway’s ports, including Panama’s February 2026 court-ordered takeover of two terminals previously run by Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison and their subsequent handover to US-aligned operators such as APM Terminals and a BlackRock-backed entity. Senior officials, including the secretary of state and defense secretary, have framed recent visits as cooperative efforts with Panama to ensure neutrality and limit foreign influence, while Panamanian authorities have reaffirmed full operational control and normal transits. No legislative, treaty-reversal, or armed measures have advanced, leaving the 2027 timeline without credible catalysts for outright US assumption of control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Volume
$78,260Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.The high probability assigned to the outcome not occurring stems from the absence of any US military seizure or formal reclamation of sovereignty over the Panama Canal since the 1999 handover. Instead, the Trump administration has pursued diplomatic pressure and commercial realignments to curb Chinese-linked operations at the waterway’s ports, including Panama’s February 2026 court-ordered takeover of two terminals previously run by Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison and their subsequent handover to US-aligned operators such as APM Terminals and a BlackRock-backed entity. Senior officials, including the secretary of state and defense secretary, have framed recent visits as cooperative efforts with Panama to ensure neutrality and limit foreign influence, while Panamanian authorities have reaffirmed full operational control and normal transits. No legislative, treaty-reversal, or armed measures have advanced, leaving the 2027 timeline without credible catalysts for outright US assumption of control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$78,260Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high probability assigned to the outcome not occurring stems from the absence of any US military seizure or formal reclamation of sovereignty over the Panama Canal since the 1999 handover. Instead, the Trump administration has pursued diplomatic pressure and commercial realignments to curb Chinese-linked operations at the waterway’s ports, including Panama’s February 2026 court-ordered takeover of two terminals previously run by Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison and their subsequent handover to US-aligned operators such as APM Terminals and a BlackRock-backed entity. Senior officials, including the secretary of state and defense secretary, have framed recent visits as cooperative efforts with Panama to ensure neutrality and limit foreign influence, while Panamanian authorities have reaffirmed full operational control and normal transits. No legislative, treaty-reversal, or armed measures have advanced, leaving the 2027 timeline without credible catalysts for outright US assumption of control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes