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icon for Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ?
Politique·Trump

Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ?

icon for Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ?
Politique·Trump

Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ?

janv. 1, 2027

janv. 1, 2027

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket

$49,857 Vol.

Oui

4% chance
Polymarket

$49,857 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The elevated trader consensus that President Trump will not be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027 reflects the structural barriers in the process, which requires the vice president and a majority of cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity, followed by congressional action in any dispute. With the vice president and cabinet drawn from aligned appointees and no documented acute health impairment or internal revolt as of August 2026, the implied probability of invocation stays low. Historical patterns show the amendment has never removed an elected president, and current institutional alignments reinforce continuity. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical crisis, documented incapacity, or unprecedented cabinet-level fractures could still shift outcomes within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Volume
$49,857
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The elevated trader consensus that President Trump will not be removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027 reflects the structural barriers in the process, which requires the vice president and a majority of cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity, followed by congressional action in any dispute. With the vice president and cabinet drawn from aligned appointees and no documented acute health impairment or internal revolt as of August 2026, the implied probability of invocation stays low. Historical patterns show the amendment has never removed an elected president, and current institutional alignments reinforce continuity. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical crisis, documented incapacity, or unprecedented cabinet-level fractures could still shift outcomes within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Volume
$49,857
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

Connexes

icon for Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

7%
Oui
icon for Trump sera-t-il destitué de la présidence d'ici le 31 août ?

Trump sera-t-il destitué de la présidence d'ici le 31 août ?

<1%
Oui
icon for Trump démissionnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Trump démissionnera-t-il avant 2027 ?

3%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Trump démis de ses fonctions via le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 4¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 4% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? » a généré $49.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 5, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? » est « Trump démis de ses fonctions via le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? » à seulement 4%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump supprimé par le 25e amendement avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.