Elevated U.S. retail gasoline prices near the $4.50 national average reflect sustained crude oil supply disruptions stemming from the Iran conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February, which lifted benchmark WTI prices and translated directly into pump costs. Weekly gains of 25–30 cents per gallon in early May outpaced seasonal norms, with AAA data showing the May 2026 average already exceeding prior-year levels by more than $1.30 amid reduced global refining flexibility. EIA projections place regular gasoline at roughly $3.64 for the month, yet real-time market levels remain well above that baseline due to geopolitical risk premia and firm summer-driving demand. With only two weeks until resolution, traders are monitoring any potential de-escalation signals or inventory builds that could cap further upside before end-of-month settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$139,951 Vol.
31 mai 2026
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
67%
↓ $4.25
14%
↓ $4.20
16%
↓ $4.10
13%
↓ $4.00
9%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$139,951 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$21,513 Vol.
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 Vol.
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,506 Vol.
67%
↓ $4.25
$2,466 Vol.
14%
↓ $4.20
$1,860 Vol.
16%
↓ $4.10
$796 Vol.
13%
↓ $4.00
$884 Vol.
9%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Vol.
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated U.S. retail gasoline prices near the $4.50 national average reflect sustained crude oil supply disruptions stemming from the Iran conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February, which lifted benchmark WTI prices and translated directly into pump costs. Weekly gains of 25–30 cents per gallon in early May outpaced seasonal norms, with AAA data showing the May 2026 average already exceeding prior-year levels by more than $1.30 amid reduced global refining flexibility. EIA projections place regular gasoline at roughly $3.64 for the month, yet real-time market levels remain well above that baseline due to geopolitical risk premia and firm summer-driving demand. With only two weeks until resolution, traders are monitoring any potential de-escalation signals or inventory builds that could cap further upside before end-of-month settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volume
$139,951Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated U.S. retail gasoline prices near the $4.50 national average reflect sustained crude oil supply disruptions stemming from the Iran conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February, which lifted benchmark WTI prices and translated directly into pump costs. Weekly gains of 25–30 cents per gallon in early May outpaced seasonal norms, with AAA data showing the May 2026 average already exceeding prior-year levels by more than $1.30 amid reduced global refining flexibility. EIA projections place regular gasoline at roughly $3.64 for the month, yet real-time market levels remain well above that baseline due to geopolitical risk premia and firm summer-driving demand. With only two weeks until resolution, traders are monitoring any potential de-escalation signals or inventory builds that could cap further upside before end-of-month settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$139,951Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated U.S. retail gasoline prices near the $4.50 national average reflect sustained crude oil supply disruptions stemming from the Iran conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz since February, which lifted benchmark WTI prices and translated directly into pump costs. Weekly gains of 25–30 cents per gallon in early May outpaced seasonal norms, with AAA data showing the May 2026 average already exceeding prior-year levels by more than $1.30 amid reduced global refining flexibility. EIA projections place regular gasoline at roughly $3.64 for the month, yet real-time market levels remain well above that baseline due to geopolitical risk premia and firm summer-driving demand. With only two weeks until resolution, traders are monitoring any potential de-escalation signals or inventory builds that could cap further upside before end-of-month settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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