Persistent military tensions, including large-scale U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February 2026, have deepened the absence of any formal diplomatic channel between the two countries. Israeli officials have publicly called for broader international isolation of Tehran, while Iranian statements emphasize deep distrust and defensive posturing rather than engagement. No bilateral talks on embassy restoration or normalization have emerged in the past several months, consistent with the long-standing severance of ties since 1979. Traders pricing an 89 percent chance of no reopening by year-end appear to reflect these entrenched security conflicts and lack of credible de-escalation steps that would be required for any diplomatic reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIsraël rouvrira-t-il son ambassade en Iran en 2026 ?
Israël rouvrira-t-il son ambassade en Iran en 2026 ?
Oui
$51,774 Vol.
$51,774 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$51,774 Vol.
$51,774 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent military tensions, including large-scale U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February 2026, have deepened the absence of any formal diplomatic channel between the two countries. Israeli officials have publicly called for broader international isolation of Tehran, while Iranian statements emphasize deep distrust and defensive posturing rather than engagement. No bilateral talks on embassy restoration or normalization have emerged in the past several months, consistent with the long-standing severance of ties since 1979. Traders pricing an 89 percent chance of no reopening by year-end appear to reflect these entrenched security conflicts and lack of credible de-escalation steps that would be required for any diplomatic reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Volume
$51,774Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent military tensions, including large-scale U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February 2026, have deepened the absence of any formal diplomatic channel between the two countries. Israeli officials have publicly called for broader international isolation of Tehran, while Iranian statements emphasize deep distrust and defensive posturing rather than engagement. No bilateral talks on embassy restoration or normalization have emerged in the past several months, consistent with the long-standing severance of ties since 1979. Traders pricing an 89 percent chance of no reopening by year-end appear to reflect these entrenched security conflicts and lack of credible de-escalation steps that would be required for any diplomatic reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$51,774Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent military tensions, including large-scale U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February 2026, have deepened the absence of any formal diplomatic channel between the two countries. Israeli officials have publicly called for broader international isolation of Tehran, while Iranian statements emphasize deep distrust and defensive posturing rather than engagement. No bilateral talks on embassy restoration or normalization have emerged in the past several months, consistent with the long-standing severance of ties since 1979. Traders pricing an 89 percent chance of no reopening by year-end appear to reflect these entrenched security conflicts and lack of credible de-escalation steps that would be required for any diplomatic reversal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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