Recent August CPI data, with core inflation running hotter than expected at +0.3% month-over-month, has shifted market-implied odds toward an 85-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections. This follows softer July nonfarm payrolls and has pressured equity valuations, with the S&P 500 closing at 7,657 on September 11 after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August highs near 7,817. Retail sales, housing starts, and industrial production releases that week, plus options expiration on September 18, add volatility around rate-path expectations and Treasury yields. Trader positioning reflects caution on growth stocks amid elevated borrowing costs, tempered by resilient corporate earnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 14 septembre 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 14 septembre 2026 ?
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
↑ 795 $
50%
↑ 790 $
6%
↑ 785 $
12%
↑ 780 $
23%
↑ 775 $
41%
↑ 770 $
67%
↑ 765 $
93%
↓ 760 $
69%
↓ 755 $
43%
↓ 750 $
23%
↓ 745 $
11%
↓ 740 $
17%
↓ 735 $
22%
↓ 730 $
27%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 795 $
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 790 $
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ 785 $
$0 Vol.
12%
↑ 780 $
$0 Vol.
23%
↑ 775 $
$0 Vol.
41%
↑ 770 $
$0 Vol.
67%
↑ 765 $
$0 Vol.
93%
↓ 760 $
$0 Vol.
69%
↓ 755 $
$0 Vol.
43%
↓ 750 $
$0 Vol.
23%
↓ 745 $
$0 Vol.
11%
↓ 740 $
$0 Vol.
17%
↓ 735 $
$0 Vol.
22%
↓ 730 $
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent August CPI data, with core inflation running hotter than expected at +0.3% month-over-month, has shifted market-implied odds toward an 85-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections. This follows softer July nonfarm payrolls and has pressured equity valuations, with the S&P 500 closing at 7,657 on September 11 after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August highs near 7,817. Retail sales, housing starts, and industrial production releases that week, plus options expiration on September 18, add volatility around rate-path expectations and Treasury yields. Trader positioning reflects caution on growth stocks amid elevated borrowing costs, tempered by resilient corporate earnings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent August CPI data, with core inflation running hotter than expected at +0.3% month-over-month, has shifted market-implied odds toward an 85-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections. This follows softer July nonfarm payrolls and has pressured equity valuations, with the S&P 500 closing at 7,657 on September 11 after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August highs near 7,817. Retail sales, housing starts, and industrial production releases that week, plus options expiration on September 18, add volatility around rate-path expectations and Treasury yields. Trader positioning reflects caution on growth stocks amid elevated borrowing costs, tempered by resilient corporate earnings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$0Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent August CPI data, with core inflation running hotter than expected at +0.3% month-over-month, has shifted market-implied odds toward an 85-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections. This follows softer July nonfarm payrolls and has pressured equity valuations, with the S&P 500 closing at 7,657 on September 11 after a 0.8% weekly decline from its August highs near 7,817. Retail sales, housing starts, and industrial production releases that week, plus options expiration on September 18, add volatility around rate-path expectations and Treasury yields. Trader positioning reflects caution on growth stocks amid elevated borrowing costs, tempered by resilient corporate earnings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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