Mexico enters the expanded 48-team 2026 World Cup as co-hosts in Group A alongside South Africa, South Korea, and Czechia, opening with a 2-0 victory in Mexico City. Traders price Round of 32 (32%) and Round of 16 (31%) elimination as the clearest paths, reflecting El Tri’s home advantage and favoritism to advance from the group, offset by a history of early exits and recent squad disruptions. Multiple key players, including Marcel Ruiz (ACL), Luis Ángel Malagón (Achilles), and others, face long-term injuries that have thinned midfield and defensive depth ahead of the opener. Recent results show a rebound from a late-2025 winless streak via friendlies against Portugal and Belgium plus the Gold Cup title, yet persistent questions about consistency and knockout-stage pedigree keep deeper runs (quarterfinals or beyond) at lower implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : étape d'élimination au Mexique
Round of 16 31%
Round of 32 31%
Quarterfinals 18%
Semifinals 13%
$11,096 Vol.
$11,096 Vol.
Round of 16
31%
Round of 32
31%
Quarterfinals
18%
Semifinals
13%
Final
6%
Champion
2%
Group Stage
2%
Round of 16 31%
Round of 32 31%
Quarterfinals 18%
Semifinals 13%
$11,096 Vol.
$11,096 Vol.
Round of 16
31%
Round of 32
31%
Quarterfinals
18%
Semifinals
13%
Final
6%
Champion
2%
Group Stage
2%
If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico enters the expanded 48-team 2026 World Cup as co-hosts in Group A alongside South Africa, South Korea, and Czechia, opening with a 2-0 victory in Mexico City. Traders price Round of 32 (32%) and Round of 16 (31%) elimination as the clearest paths, reflecting El Tri’s home advantage and favoritism to advance from the group, offset by a history of early exits and recent squad disruptions. Multiple key players, including Marcel Ruiz (ACL), Luis Ángel Malagón (Achilles), and others, face long-term injuries that have thinned midfield and defensive depth ahead of the opener. Recent results show a rebound from a late-2025 winless streak via friendlies against Portugal and Belgium plus the Gold Cup title, yet persistent questions about consistency and knockout-stage pedigree keep deeper runs (quarterfinals or beyond) at lower implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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