Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, landing squarely in the 40-45 percent band that commands 99.4 percent market probability. His performance exceeded pre-election polling averages and reflected strong consolidation among right-leaning voters drawn to his outsider profile, emphasis on security measures against armed groups, and criticism of the outgoing Petro administration. Center-right candidate Paloma Valencia’s low single-digit finish further channeled support his way. A runoff against Iván Cepeda is scheduled for June 21, yet the first-round tally itself faces only routine certification and recount processes that have not historically altered results at this margin. Late official adjustments or turnout disputes remain the only narrow paths to shifting the recorded share outside the current consensus range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 99.2%
45%+ <1%
20-25% <1%
<20% <1%
$13,409 वॉल्यूम
$13,409 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
<20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
99%
45%+
1%
40-45% 99.2%
45%+ <1%
20-25% <1%
<20% <1%
$13,409 वॉल्यूम
$13,409 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
<20%
$973 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20-25%
$1,653 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25-30%
$1,781 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30-35%
$1,237 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35-40%
$1,769 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-45%
$2,940 वॉल्यूम
99%
45%+
$3,056 वॉल्यूम
1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, landing squarely in the 40-45 percent band that commands 99.4 percent market probability. His performance exceeded pre-election polling averages and reflected strong consolidation among right-leaning voters drawn to his outsider profile, emphasis on security measures against armed groups, and criticism of the outgoing Petro administration. Center-right candidate Paloma Valencia’s low single-digit finish further channeled support his way. A runoff against Iván Cepeda is scheduled for June 21, yet the first-round tally itself faces only routine certification and recount processes that have not historically altered results at this margin. Late official adjustments or turnout disputes remain the only narrow paths to shifting the recorded share outside the current consensus range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,409समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, landing squarely in the 40-45 percent band that commands 99.4 percent market probability. His performance exceeded pre-election polling averages and reflected strong consolidation among right-leaning voters drawn to his outsider profile, emphasis on security measures against armed groups, and criticism of the outgoing Petro administration. Center-right candidate Paloma Valencia’s low single-digit finish further channeled support his way. A runoff against Iván Cepeda is scheduled for June 21, yet the first-round tally itself faces only routine certification and recount processes that have not historically altered results at this margin. Late official adjustments or turnout disputes remain the only narrow paths to shifting the recorded share outside the current consensus range.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$13,409समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella secured 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first round, landing squarely in the 40-45 percent band that commands 99.4 percent market probability. His performance exceeded pre-election polling averages and reflected strong consolidation among right-leaning voters drawn to his outsider profile, emphasis on security measures against armed groups, and criticism of the outgoing Petro administration. Center-right candidate Paloma Valencia’s low single-digit finish further channeled support his way. A runoff against Iván Cepeda is scheduled for June 21, yet the first-round tally itself faces only routine certification and recount processes that have not historically altered results at this margin. Late official adjustments or turnout disputes remain the only narrow paths to shifting the recorded share outside the current consensus range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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