Recent redistricting developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Republican Party in Alabama’s 2nd congressional district. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling opened the door for the state to implement its 2023 legislative map, which lowers the Black voting-age population share and tilts the district toward Republican performance. Governor Kay Ivey promptly scheduled special primaries for August 11 under the revised boundaries, accelerating the timeline and prompting multiple GOP candidates, including Hampton Harris, to qualify. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced unopposed in the now-canceled May primary but faces a narrower path in the altered geography ahead of the November 3 general election. These procedural and map changes explain the current 73.5% Republican and 27.5% Democratic implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$29,041 वॉल्यूम
$29,041 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
28%
$29,041 वॉल्यूम
$29,041 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$16,024 वॉल्यूम
73%
Democratic Party
$13,017 वॉल्यूम
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Republican Party in Alabama’s 2nd congressional district. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling opened the door for the state to implement its 2023 legislative map, which lowers the Black voting-age population share and tilts the district toward Republican performance. Governor Kay Ivey promptly scheduled special primaries for August 11 under the revised boundaries, accelerating the timeline and prompting multiple GOP candidates, including Hampton Harris, to qualify. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced unopposed in the now-canceled May primary but faces a narrower path in the altered geography ahead of the November 3 general election. These procedural and map changes explain the current 73.5% Republican and 27.5% Democratic implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,041समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Republican Party in Alabama’s 2nd congressional district. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling opened the door for the state to implement its 2023 legislative map, which lowers the Black voting-age population share and tilts the district toward Republican performance. Governor Kay Ivey promptly scheduled special primaries for August 11 under the revised boundaries, accelerating the timeline and prompting multiple GOP candidates, including Hampton Harris, to qualify. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced unopposed in the now-canceled May primary but faces a narrower path in the altered geography ahead of the November 3 general election. These procedural and map changes explain the current 73.5% Republican and 27.5% Democratic implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,041समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting developments have shifted trader consensus toward the Republican Party in Alabama’s 2nd congressional district. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling opened the door for the state to implement its 2023 legislative map, which lowers the Black voting-age population share and tilts the district toward Republican performance. Governor Kay Ivey promptly scheduled special primaries for August 11 under the revised boundaries, accelerating the timeline and prompting multiple GOP candidates, including Hampton Harris, to qualify. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced unopposed in the now-canceled May primary but faces a narrower path in the altered geography ahead of the November 3 general election. These procedural and map changes explain the current 73.5% Republican and 27.5% Democratic implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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