This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads the Alaska 2026 gubernatorial market at 53% due to his consistent polling advantage in the crowded top-four primary set for August 18, where he has topped surveys at 38-54% in head-to-head and multi-candidate testing since early 2026. As the first major Democrat to declare and a former state senator, Begich benefits from name recognition and early organizational efforts ahead of term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Bernadette Wilson, a Republican businesswoman and campaign veteran, holds second at 26.5% as the strongest GOP contender in a fragmented Republican field that includes Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Treg Taylor. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican, yet primary dynamics and voter turnout in Alaska’s ranked-choice system keep Begich’s implied probability elevated among traders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads the Alaska 2026 gubernatorial market at 53% due to his consistent polling advantage in the crowded top-four primary set for August 18, where he has topped surveys at 38-54% in head-to-head and multi-candidate testing since early 2026. As the first major Democrat to declare and a former state senator, Begich benefits from name recognition and early organizational efforts ahead of term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Bernadette Wilson, a Republican businesswoman and campaign veteran, holds second at 26.5% as the strongest GOP contender in a fragmented Republican field that includes Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Treg Taylor. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican, yet primary dynamics and voter turnout in Alaska’s ranked-choice system keep Begich’s implied probability elevated among traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Apr 28 2026
Poll gives Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support in Alaska governor primary
David Bronson rises to 3%1%
The same April poll gave Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support, a modest rise that halted his earlier decline and nudged his market price upward from near‑zero to a low single‑digit level.
Apr 28 2026
Poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska governor primary field
Tom Begich jumps to 41%11%
The Dittman Research poll released at the end of April showed Begich leading the Democratic field with 21 % support, prompting a steady climb in his market price to the highest level of the analysis window.
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
State Sen. Matt Claman announces run for Alaska governor
Matt Claman dips to 0%1%
Claman’s formal campaign launch was reported in early April, but the market gave his option essentially zero value, reflecting low voter awareness and support.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 24%6%
Both Wilson and Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, reinforcing their fiscal‑conservative credentials and giving a modest boost to their market prices after a period of low values.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Treg Taylor rises to 8%4%
The same pledge signing also lifted Treg Taylor’s market price from single‑digit levels to double‑digits as the pledge signaled a clear anti‑tax stance attractive to Alaska’s Republican base.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop opposes Trump’s Greenland plan at AKYR convention
Click Bishop rises to 6%3%
At the Alaska Young Republicans state convention, Bishop opposed the Trump‑led Greenland proposal and highlighted Permanent Fund dividend issues, prompting a slight bump in his market price after weeks of near‑zero levels.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom skips AKYR convention
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 5%16%
Dahlstrom’s absence from the AKYR convention was noted in coverage, reinforcing perception of a weaker campaign and contributing to a gradual decline in her market price during January‑February.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads the Alaska 2026 gubernatorial market at 53% due to his consistent polling advantage in the crowded top-four primary set for August 18, where he has topped surveys at 38-54% in head-to-head and multi-candidate testing since early 2026. As the first major Democrat to declare and a former state senator, Begich benefits from name recognition and early organizational efforts ahead of term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Bernadette Wilson, a Republican businesswoman and campaign veteran, holds second at 26.5% as the strongest GOP contender in a fragmented Republican field that includes Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Treg Taylor. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican, yet primary dynamics and voter turnout in Alaska’s ranked-choice system keep Begich’s implied probability elevated among traders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Tom Begich leads the Alaska 2026 gubernatorial market at 53% due to his consistent polling advantage in the crowded top-four primary set for August 18, where he has topped surveys at 38-54% in head-to-head and multi-candidate testing since early 2026. As the first major Democrat to declare and a former state senator, Begich benefits from name recognition and early organizational efforts ahead of term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Bernadette Wilson, a Republican businesswoman and campaign veteran, holds second at 26.5% as the strongest GOP contender in a fragmented Republican field that includes Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Treg Taylor. Forecasters rate the general election Likely Republican, yet primary dynamics and voter turnout in Alaska’s ranked-choice system keep Begich’s implied probability elevated among traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Apr 28 2026
Poll gives Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support in Alaska governor primary
David Bronson rises to 3%1%
The same April poll gave Republican Dave Bronson 7 % support, a modest rise that halted his earlier decline and nudged his market price upward from near‑zero to a low single‑digit level.
Apr 28 2026
Poll shows Democrat Tom Begich leading Alaska governor primary field
Tom Begich jumps to 41%11%
The Dittman Research poll released at the end of April showed Begich leading the Democratic field with 21 % support, prompting a steady climb in his market price to the highest level of the analysis window.
Apr 27 2026
Poll shows Tom Begich leading Alaska gubernatorial primary race
A Dittman Research poll commissioned by a Republican candidate showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the primary race with 21% support, indicating his strong position among voters and influencing market confidence in his candidacy.
Apr 26 2026
Tom Begich sees surge in market support
Tom Begich jumps to 38%13%
A late-stage rally in market support for Tom Begich pushed his price to 38%, reflecting shifting expectations in the gubernatorial race.
Apr 2 2026
State Sen. Matt Claman announces run for Alaska governor
Matt Claman dips to 0%1%
Claman’s formal campaign launch was reported in early April, but the market gave his option essentially zero value, reflecting low voter awareness and support.
Apr 2 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins enters the race
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins surges to 48%38%
The entry of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins into the gubernatorial race caused an immediate spike in his market price as voters and analysts assessed his candidacy.
Mar 17 2026
Treg Taylor gains traction in gubernatorial race
Treg Taylor surges to 17%15%
Treg Taylor's campaign saw a significant surge in market interest following increased visibility and campaign activity in mid-March.
Feb 19 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, committing to oppose all tax increases. This move solidified their conservative credentials and likely influenced market confidence in their candidacies.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces run for Alaska governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plunges to 8%40%
Former state legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins declared his candidacy for governor, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat in the race. His entry introduced a new dynamic to the Democratic field and affected market perceptions of his chances.
Feb 4 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins announces gubernatorial candidacy
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state legislator, officially entered the 2026 Alaska governor race, becoming the 16th candidate and third Democrat. His entry initially raised market interest in his chances due to his legislative experience and focus on fiscal issues.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson jumps to 24%6%
Both Wilson and Taylor signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, reinforcing their fiscal‑conservative credentials and giving a modest boost to their market prices after a period of low values.
Jan 12 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Treg Taylor rises to 8%4%
The same pledge signing also lifted Treg Taylor’s market price from single‑digit levels to double‑digits as the pledge signaled a clear anti‑tax stance attractive to Alaska’s Republican base.
Jan 10 2026
Alaska Young Republicans host State Convention with gubernatorial candidates
The Alaska Young Republicans held a state convention featuring ten Republican gubernatorial candidates discussing key issues and their platforms. This event provided voters and markets with insights into candidate positions, affecting market perceptions especially for candidates like Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and others.
Jan 10 2026
Click Bishop opposes Trump’s Greenland plan at AKYR convention
Click Bishop rises to 6%3%
At the Alaska Young Republicans state convention, Bishop opposed the Trump‑led Greenland proposal and highlighted Permanent Fund dividend issues, prompting a slight bump in his market price after weeks of near‑zero levels.
Jan 10 2026
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor sign Taxpayer Protection Pledge
Bernadette Wilson rises to 22%4%
Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor publicly committed to opposing all tax increases by signing the Taxpayer Protection Pledge, signaling fiscal conservatism and appealing to Republican voters, which affected their market support.
Jan 10 2026
Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom skips AKYR convention
Nancy Dahlstrom plunges to 5%16%
Dahlstrom’s absence from the AKYR convention was noted in coverage, reinforcing perception of a weaker campaign and contributing to a gradual decline in her market price during January‑February.
Jan 5 2026
Tim Walz drops Minnesota gubernatorial bid
The withdrawal of a high-profile governor from a different state's race signaled broader political shifts, impacting the overall market sentiment for gubernatorial candidates.
Oct 14 2025
Market prices adjust sharply following initial launch
Prices for all candidates dropped significantly from the 50% opening, indicating a rapid market correction as participants assessed the field.
Oct 13 2025
Former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum faces review over private equity investment
An investigation revealed that former Revenue Commissioner Adam Crum deviated from state law and failed to perform due diligence when investing state savings, impacting his political standing as he launched a gubernatorial bid.
Oct 13 2025
Market opens with high uncertainty for all candidates
The market launched with all candidates priced at 50%, reflecting high initial uncertainty regarding the 2026 gubernatorial race.
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" Polymarket पर 22 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, टॉम बेगिच 48% (48¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद बर्नाडेट विल्सन 26% पर है।
आज तक, "अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" ने कुल $1.1 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Oct 13, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 22 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "टॉम बेगिच" 48% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "बर्नाडेट विल्सन" 26% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" पर $1.1 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" बाज़ार में "टॉम बेगिच" के लिए 48¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "टॉम बेगिच" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 48% संभावना है। अगर आप 48¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 52¢ का लाभ।
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" बाज़ार Nov 2, 2026 को या उसके आसपास हल होने के लिए निर्धारित है। इसका मतलब है कि उस तिथि तक ट्रेडिंग खुली रहेगी और संभावनाएँ बदलती रहेंगी।
"अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" बाज़ार में 2 टिप्पणियों की एक बढ़ती चर्चा है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "अलास्का के गवर्नर चुनाव विजेता" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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