Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for second place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, driven by Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement that unified much of the right-wing electorate behind the senator from the Liberal Party. Recent national polls, including those from Quaest and Ideia in early May, place Lula in the mid-to-high 30s percent while showing Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, each below 6 percent. This positioning leaves limited room for other candidates to overtake him absent major consolidations or withdrawals. A mid-May leak of messages tying Flávio to a banking scandal has introduced short-term volatility, yet the market continues to price his established base and opposition role as durable factors for the second spot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 16%
रेनेन सैंटोस 8.8%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 5.5%
$3,526,025 वॉल्यूम
$3,526,025 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
16%
रेनेन सैंटोस
9%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
5%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
3%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 16%
रेनेन सैंटोस 8.8%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 5.5%
$3,526,025 वॉल्यूम
$3,526,025 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
16%
रेनेन सैंटोस
9%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
5%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
3%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for second place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, driven by Jair Bolsonaro's December endorsement that unified much of the right-wing electorate behind the senator from the Liberal Party. Recent national polls, including those from Quaest and Ideia in early May, place Lula in the mid-to-high 30s percent while showing Flávio in the low-to-mid 30s, well ahead of fragmented challengers such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos, each below 6 percent. This positioning leaves limited room for other candidates to overtake him absent major consolidations or withdrawals. A mid-May leak of messages tying Flávio to a banking scandal has introduced short-term volatility, yet the market continues to price his established base and opposition role as durable factors for the second spot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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