Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 15%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.7%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 6.9%
$3,523,676 वॉल्यूम
$3,523,676 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
15%
रेनेन सैंटोस
8%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
7%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
3%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
2%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 15%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.7%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा 6.9%
$3,523,676 वॉल्यूम
$3,523,676 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
$56,396 वॉल्यूम
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
$67,344 वॉल्यूम
15%
रेनेन सैंटोस
$995,940 वॉल्यूम
8%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
$256,381 वॉल्यूम
7%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
$72,830 वॉल्यूम
3%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
$651,329 वॉल्यूम
3%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
$56,064 वॉल्यूम
2%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टिना
$2,853 वॉल्यूम
1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
$289,157 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
$123,364 वॉल्यूम
1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
$111,040 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
$642,631 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
$29,825 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
$48,401 वॉल्यूम
<1%
हेल्डर बारबल्हो
$2,260 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
$77,363 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
$40,500 वॉल्यूम
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,523,676समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,523,676समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent national polls position Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the frontrunner for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, behind incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Datafolha and Quaest surveys from mid-May show Lula at 38-39 percent while Flávio registers 33-35 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in single digits. Flávio’s candidacy, formally backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro in December 2025, has consolidated right-wing support following Jair’s legal disqualification. Traders appear to view this polling pattern and the absence of a stronger alternative challenger as the primary drivers behind the current market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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