Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection campaign anchors trader consensus for the CA-21 seat, which Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley district’s partisan lean shifted to roughly D+6 after mid-decade redistricting, reflecting stronger Democratic performance in the 2024 presidential results. Costa’s commanding fundraising lead, exceeding $850,000 cash on hand, contrasts with limited resources for Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polling indicates any narrowing of the gap, though the primary structure and potential general-election dynamics on November 3 remain the key variables that could still influence the final outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,884 वॉल्यूम
88%
Republican Party
$1,394 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection campaign anchors trader consensus for the CA-21 seat, which Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley district’s partisan lean shifted to roughly D+6 after mid-decade redistricting, reflecting stronger Democratic performance in the 2024 presidential results. Costa’s commanding fundraising lead, exceeding $850,000 cash on hand, contrasts with limited resources for Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polling indicates any narrowing of the gap, though the primary structure and potential general-election dynamics on November 3 remain the key variables that could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,278समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection campaign anchors trader consensus for the CA-21 seat, which Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley district’s partisan lean shifted to roughly D+6 after mid-decade redistricting, reflecting stronger Democratic performance in the 2024 presidential results. Costa’s commanding fundraising lead, exceeding $850,000 cash on hand, contrasts with limited resources for Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polling indicates any narrowing of the gap, though the primary structure and potential general-election dynamics on November 3 remain the key variables that could still influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,278समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa’s reelection campaign anchors trader consensus for the CA-21 seat, which Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate Likely Democratic ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Central Valley district’s partisan lean shifted to roughly D+6 after mid-decade redistricting, reflecting stronger Democratic performance in the 2024 presidential results. Costa’s commanding fundraising lead, exceeding $850,000 cash on hand, contrasts with limited resources for Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios. No recent polling indicates any narrowing of the gap, though the primary structure and potential general-election dynamics on November 3 remain the key variables that could still influence the final outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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