The competitive toss-up rating for Colorado's 8th congressional district, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans won by roughly one point in 2024 after a similarly narrow result in 2022, anchors trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory at 57.5 percent. Primary dynamics among Democrats Shannon Bird, Manny Rutinel, and Evan Munsing ahead of the June 30 contest shape expectations, with the eventual nominee positioned to challenge Evans in a district spanning northern Denver suburbs and rural counties. Evans's $3.4 million fundraising advantage and lack of primary opposition provide a counterweight, yet low candidate name identification across the field and historical swing-district volatility keep implied probabilities close. Scheduled events including the Democratic primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will likely drive further shifts before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCO-08 House Election Winner
CO-08 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
39%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$877 वॉल्यूम
57%
Republican Party
$722 वॉल्यूम
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive toss-up rating for Colorado's 8th congressional district, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans won by roughly one point in 2024 after a similarly narrow result in 2022, anchors trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory at 57.5 percent. Primary dynamics among Democrats Shannon Bird, Manny Rutinel, and Evan Munsing ahead of the June 30 contest shape expectations, with the eventual nominee positioned to challenge Evans in a district spanning northern Denver suburbs and rural counties. Evans's $3.4 million fundraising advantage and lack of primary opposition provide a counterweight, yet low candidate name identification across the field and historical swing-district volatility keep implied probabilities close. Scheduled events including the Democratic primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will likely drive further shifts before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,599समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive toss-up rating for Colorado's 8th congressional district, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans won by roughly one point in 2024 after a similarly narrow result in 2022, anchors trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory at 57.5 percent. Primary dynamics among Democrats Shannon Bird, Manny Rutinel, and Evan Munsing ahead of the June 30 contest shape expectations, with the eventual nominee positioned to challenge Evans in a district spanning northern Denver suburbs and rural counties. Evans's $3.4 million fundraising advantage and lack of primary opposition provide a counterweight, yet low candidate name identification across the field and historical swing-district volatility keep implied probabilities close. Scheduled events including the Democratic primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will likely drive further shifts before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,599समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive toss-up rating for Colorado's 8th congressional district, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans won by roughly one point in 2024 after a similarly narrow result in 2022, anchors trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory at 57.5 percent. Primary dynamics among Democrats Shannon Bird, Manny Rutinel, and Evan Munsing ahead of the June 30 contest shape expectations, with the eventual nominee positioned to challenge Evans in a district spanning northern Denver suburbs and rural counties. Evans's $3.4 million fundraising advantage and lack of primary opposition provide a counterweight, yet low candidate name identification across the field and historical swing-district volatility keep implied probabilities close. Scheduled events including the Democratic primary outcome and subsequent general-election polling will likely drive further shifts before November 3, 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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