Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडी ला एस्प्रीला 10-15% 31%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 5-10% 29%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 0-5% 19%
डे ला एस्प्रिएला 15%+ 12.8%
$84,017 वॉल्यूम
$84,017 वॉल्यूम
22 जून, 2026
डे ला एस्प्रिएला 15%+
13%
डी ला एस्प्रीला 10-15%
31%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 5-10%
29%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 0-5%
19%
सेपेडा कास्त्रो की जीत
12%
डी ला एस्प्रीला 10-15% 31%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 5-10% 29%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 0-5% 19%
डे ला एस्प्रिएला 15%+ 12.8%
$84,017 वॉल्यूम
$84,017 वॉल्यूम
22 जून, 2026
डे ला एस्प्रिएला 15%+
$20,394 वॉल्यूम
13%
डी ला एस्प्रीला 10-15%
$20,209 वॉल्यूम
31%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 5-10%
$14,803 वॉल्यूम
29%
डे ला एस्प्रियेला 0-5%
$18,690 वॉल्यूम
19%
सेपेडा कास्त्रो की जीत
$10,061 वॉल्यूम
12%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,017समाप्ति तिथि
22 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$84,017समाप्ति तिथि
22 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella's narrow first-round lead of 43.7% to Iván Cepeda Castro's 40.9% on May 31 has shaped trader views on the June 21 runoff margin, with the right-wing outsider outperforming pre-election polls that had the left-wing senator ahead or nearly tied. High voter concentration between the two finalists and record turnout concentrated support along ideological lines, leaving limited room for centrist consolidation. Recent polling for the runoff remains divided, with some surveys showing Cepeda competitive or favored while others reflect de la Espriella's momentum from the initial ballot. This uncertainty keeps the tightest victory ranges and a Cepeda win as active possibilities alongside broader outcomes in the closely contested race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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