The Federal Reserve's September 16 unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, anchors current Polymarket pricing for the Sep-Dec path. Hot August CPI and PCE readings near 3.4-3.7% prompted the move and revised dot plot, with 16 of 18 participants projecting a further quarter-point increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate to 4.1%. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll gains, support a measured approach, while elevated inflation risks tilt toward additional tightening. Markets price the Hike-Pause-Hike sequence highest at 39.5% as participants anticipate a likely October pause ahead of the midterms and December data, followed by a final hike, versus firmer tightening paths at lower probabilities. Key catalysts include the October 27-28 and December 8-9 FOMC meetings plus intervening CPI and employment releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयावृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि 40%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक) 22%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 18%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 16%
$53,161 वॉल्यूम
$53,161 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
40%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
18%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
22%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
16%
अन्य
2%
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि 40%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक) 22%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 18%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 16%
$53,161 वॉल्यूम
$53,161 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
$4,058 वॉल्यूम
40%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
$10,767 वॉल्यूम
18%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
$6,242 वॉल्यूम
22%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
$8,868 वॉल्यूम
16%
अन्य
$841 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe Federal Reserve's September 16 unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, anchors current Polymarket pricing for the Sep-Dec path. Hot August CPI and PCE readings near 3.4-3.7% prompted the move and revised dot plot, with 16 of 18 participants projecting a further quarter-point increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate to 4.1%. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll gains, support a measured approach, while elevated inflation risks tilt toward additional tightening. Markets price the Hike-Pause-Hike sequence highest at 39.5% as participants anticipate a likely October pause ahead of the midterms and December data, followed by a final hike, versus firmer tightening paths at lower probabilities. Key catalysts include the October 27-28 and December 8-9 FOMC meetings plus intervening CPI and employment releases.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,161समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe Federal Reserve's September 16 unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, anchors current Polymarket pricing for the Sep-Dec path. Hot August CPI and PCE readings near 3.4-3.7% prompted the move and revised dot plot, with 16 of 18 participants projecting a further quarter-point increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate to 4.1%. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll gains, support a measured approach, while elevated inflation risks tilt toward additional tightening. Markets price the Hike-Pause-Hike sequence highest at 39.5% as participants anticipate a likely October pause ahead of the midterms and December data, followed by a final hike, versus firmer tightening paths at lower probabilities. Key catalysts include the October 27-28 and December 8-9 FOMC meetings plus intervening CPI and employment releases.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$53,161समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Federal Reserve's September 16 unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, anchors current Polymarket pricing for the Sep-Dec path. Hot August CPI and PCE readings near 3.4-3.7% prompted the move and revised dot plot, with 16 of 18 participants projecting a further quarter-point increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate to 4.1%. Stable labor conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and solid payroll gains, support a measured approach, while elevated inflation risks tilt toward additional tightening. Markets price the Hike-Pause-Hike sequence highest at 39.5% as participants anticipate a likely October pause ahead of the midterms and December data, followed by a final hike, versus firmer tightening paths at lower probabilities. Key catalysts include the October 27-28 and December 8-9 FOMC meetings plus intervening CPI and employment releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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