In Florida's newly redrawn 9th Congressional District, a crowded Republican primary on August 18 features Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux as the leading contenders, with traders assigning each roughly 17-31% implied probability amid heavy undecided voters. Redistricting shifted the seat into Republican-leaning territory, drawing multiple candidates focused on cost-of-living concerns and inflation. A mid-August poll showed the top three statistically tied, while recent endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's support for Green have provided minor momentum without producing clear separation. Candidate forums and late-campaign positioning continue to influence sentiment in this open primary lacking an incumbent.