Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a daytime maximum near 15°C in Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, producing the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with near-average winter conditions, where long-term climatology shows August daily highs typically ranging 12–15°C. Recent northerly shifts have modestly raised overnight minima without triggering stronger warming or cold advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary catalysts that could refine consensus; persistent cloud cover or an unexpected southerly shift remain the only realistic scenarios that might alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$47,594 वॉल्यूम
$47,594 वॉल्यूम
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$47,594 वॉल्यूम
$47,594 वॉल्यूम
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a daytime maximum near 15°C in Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow, producing the market's near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with near-average winter conditions, where long-term climatology shows August daily highs typically ranging 12–15°C. Recent northerly shifts have modestly raised overnight minima without triggering stronger warming or cold advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours represent the primary catalysts that could refine consensus; persistent cloud cover or an unexpected southerly shift remain the only realistic scenarios that might alter the recorded high by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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