Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked tonnage, including the August 24 strike on the Bahri tanker Amzan, have sustained elevated war-risk premiums and prompted selective rerouting or AIS-dark transits through Bab el-Mandeb, flattening weekly AIS-visible volumes near 223 in mid-August after a post-July blockade dip. Container carriers have cautiously resumed limited Suez services, lifting some traffic, yet tanker flows remain constrained by case-by-case insurance and dark-ship prevalence that complicates precise counts. Trader consensus clusters on 180-219 transits for the August 24 week, reflecting uncertainty over unreported movements and whether recent daily readings of 30-70 vessels scale to the higher or lower band amid persistent security frictions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त के बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य सप्ताह में कितने जहाज पारगमन करते हैं?
24 अगस्त के बाब अल - मंडेब जलडमरूमध्य सप्ताह में कितने जहाज पारगमन करते हैं?
180-199 36%
२००-२१९ 31%
220+ 18%
160-179 11%
$17,045 वॉल्यूम
$17,045 वॉल्यूम
30 अग, 2026
<160
6%
160-179
11%
180-199
36%
२००-२१९
31%
220+
18%
180-199 36%
२००-२१९ 31%
220+ 18%
160-179 11%
$17,045 वॉल्यूम
$17,045 वॉल्यूम
30 अग, 2026
<160
$203 वॉल्यूम
6%
160-179
$202 वॉल्यूम
11%
180-199
$431 वॉल्यूम
36%
२००-२१९
$14,117 वॉल्यूम
31%
220+
$2,092 वॉल्यूम
18%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked tonnage, including the August 24 strike on the Bahri tanker Amzan, have sustained elevated war-risk premiums and prompted selective rerouting or AIS-dark transits through Bab el-Mandeb, flattening weekly AIS-visible volumes near 223 in mid-August after a post-July blockade dip. Container carriers have cautiously resumed limited Suez services, lifting some traffic, yet tanker flows remain constrained by case-by-case insurance and dark-ship prevalence that complicates precise counts. Trader consensus clusters on 180-219 transits for the August 24 week, reflecting uncertainty over unreported movements and whether recent daily readings of 30-70 vessels scale to the higher or lower band amid persistent security frictions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,045समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 3:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked tonnage, including the August 24 strike on the Bahri tanker Amzan, have sustained elevated war-risk premiums and prompted selective rerouting or AIS-dark transits through Bab el-Mandeb, flattening weekly AIS-visible volumes near 223 in mid-August after a post-July blockade dip. Container carriers have cautiously resumed limited Suez services, lifting some traffic, yet tanker flows remain constrained by case-by-case insurance and dark-ship prevalence that complicates precise counts. Trader consensus clusters on 180-219 transits for the August 24 week, reflecting uncertainty over unreported movements and whether recent daily readings of 30-70 vessels scale to the higher or lower band amid persistent security frictions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
वॉल्यूम
$17,045समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 3:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked tonnage, including the August 24 strike on the Bahri tanker Amzan, have sustained elevated war-risk premiums and prompted selective rerouting or AIS-dark transits through Bab el-Mandeb, flattening weekly AIS-visible volumes near 223 in mid-August after a post-July blockade dip. Container carriers have cautiously resumed limited Suez services, lifting some traffic, yet tanker flows remain constrained by case-by-case insurance and dark-ship prevalence that complicates precise counts. Trader consensus clusters on 180-219 transits for the August 24 week, reflecting uncertainty over unreported movements and whether recent daily readings of 30-70 vessels scale to the higher or lower band amid persistent security frictions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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