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icon for IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

icon for IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?

$348,717 वॉल्यूम

31 अक्टू, 2026
Polymarket

$348,717 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 अगस्त

$52,844 वॉल्यूम

1%

31 अक्टूबर

$77,203 वॉल्यूम

15%

31 दिसंबर

$25,347 वॉल्यूम

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, has driven recent diplomatic engagement on verification access. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in late June that inspections of enrichment sites would occur under the interim accord, with technical discussions underway on dates, procedures, and locations, though Iranian officials have conditioned broader cooperation on a final agreement. Access to the affected facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained sharply restricted since the 2025 strikes, with the Agency limited to unaffected sites such as Bushehr. Ongoing IAEA Board resolutions and reports continue to highlight gaps in safeguards continuity at the damaged enrichment plants, making any verified visit contingent on Iranian facilitation amid unresolved negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$348,717
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.The June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, which explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material and facilities, has driven recent diplomatic engagement on verification access. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated in late June that inspections of enrichment sites would occur under the interim accord, with technical discussions underway on dates, procedures, and locations, though Iranian officials have conditioned broader cooperation on a final agreement. Access to the affected facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz has remained sharply restricted since the 2025 strikes, with the Agency limited to unaffected sites such as Bushehr. Ongoing IAEA Board resolutions and reports continue to highlight gaps in safeguards continuity at the damaged enrichment plants, making any verified visit contingent on Iranian facilitation amid unresolved negotiations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$348,717
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

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"IAEA ने इस्फ़हान, फोर्डो, या नटांज़ परमाणु स्थल का दौरा किया...?" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर 22% (22¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 अक्टूबर 14% पर है।

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